These Numbers Don’t Lie: McCain Will Win Florida
Ryan | 29 01 2008If you're a first time visitor, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed, which will keep you up to date with all the latest New School Politics posts. Thanks for visiting!
Contrary to Efty’s Florida projection, which is clearly clouded by his pro-Romney bias, I think that John McCain will come out on top of the results tonight in a close race despite Florida being a closed primary, Romney’s debate performance, and Romney surging for the past two weeks in Florida polling.
My prediction is based on two reasons essentially:
1. McCain is up by a small margin in the vast majority of recent FL polls
2. McCain still has unseen momentum from his endorsements from Governor Crist and Senator Martinez, both popular GOP Floridians.
Since McCain’s two recent endorsements he has received a bump in the last week which I believe would continue to have a positive effect even if the primary wasn’t held until next Tuesday.
There really is not any legitimate or scientific evidence to predict that Romey will win, the wishes of his supporters not withstanding.
The only other prediction I could make would be to not make one, and declare it a pure tossup considering how close the polls are. But what’s the fun in that?
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Ron Paul will pull out with a surprise victory in
Chou | 29 01 2008Ron Paul will pull out with a surprise victory in Florida and take back the White House! Byahhhh!
I'm with you. It's going to be a big
zach | 29 01 2008I’m with you. It’s going to be a big win for McCain, and a blow to Romney’s campaign. I think the victory in Florida will finally end Rudy, diminish Huckabee, and establish McCain and Romney as the party’s two frontrunners.
...it looks like we were right zach... just that efty may
Ryan | 29 01 2008…it looks like we were right zach…
just that efty may be a bit upset about it….
so be sure to brag to him as much as possible