Saturday Predictions for Nevada and South Carolina
Ryan | 19 01 2008If you're a first time visitor, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed, which will keep you up to date with all the latest New School Politics posts. Thanks for visiting!
Here’s what I am expecting for tonights results:
Clinton and Romney win Nevada’s caucuses
Huckabee erks one out over McCain in South Carolina’s primary
If this happens, things will simply be looking a little better for Clinton (who is still the overall frontrunner) going into next weeks Dem SC primary which should be tight (and probably favors Obama as of now).
On the GOP side, however, my scenario would make that race even more confusing, and reassert Florida as a toss-up primary and possibly a big swing state for the Republican nomination. It would also bring Rudy Giuliani into the thick of things in Florida.
If McCain can manage to pull it off in South Carolina, however, he can probably claim frontrunner status again, as he is already slightly ahead in Florida and National polls.
Romney’s decision to concentrate on Nevada is a safe, and probably wise, call. He is definitely still a prominant contender, and he appears to have support among much of the party faithful as he has been doing consistantly well among conservative Republicans in the early primaries and seems to be gaining favor among notable conservatives on the radio, such as Rush Limbaugh.
Stay tuned, tonight should be interesting.
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