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Moments ago outlets called Pennsylvania for Hillary Clinton. This however was not much of a surprise. The real test will be at the margins. Polls had Clinton winning by around six points, but earlier today, exit polls had the race closer.

But to clue you in on what the final margin may be tonight, the following blogger takes note of how initial exit polling has consistently favored Obama by five to eight points relative to the final outcome going back to New Hampshire.

Given that, exit polls such as the following one released at 5pm indicated Clinton winning by four. If that was the average exit poll numbers, it would mean that Hillary may win by more than 10 pts. tonight.

But what really matters in the grand scheme is the delegate count, which Obama leads by around 150. Even if Clinton wins big tonight, she probably wont even be able to net 20 delegates.

When you consider that PA is a big state and that Hillary is bound to win big, and will not even dent Barack’s lead by 15%, it shows how difficult it will be for her to retake the delegate lead before the madness is over.

Last 5 posts by Ryan

• Tough Questions For Obama - May 5th, 2008
• Closed Shops and Rotting Teeth - May 2nd, 2008
• McCain's Fiscal Plans - April 23rd, 2008
• Censorship and Student Media - April 15th, 2008
• What's regulation got to do with the credit problem? - April 10th, 2008

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