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Had I taken some of these thoughts into consideration I would not have predicted Romney to win Florida and despite what Ryan says about my Romney bias, my thoughts were based upon analysis of polling information that showed the economy as the top issue for Floridians, and his rising numbers in the polls. The below analysis by Jay Cost is terrific and I suggest that anyone interested in what occurred in the Sunshine State read it over.

On a side note-it looks as if contrary to what the pundits thought a couple weeks ago, the Republican nomination might be locked up be February 6th and the Democrats may now be the party to go to the convention.

Here’s a portion of “How McCain Won” by Jay Cost:

John McCain won Florida by putting together the same basic voting coalition he forged in New Hampshire and South Carolina. What is impressive is that he did it in a closed primary. Registered Independents and Democrats were not allowed to vote, but McCain still won. Let’s take a look at how he did it:

McCain once again won those who are disenchanted by the Bush presidency. Most Florida Republicans (68%) approve of the Bush administration. Romney won them, 35% to 28%. McCain, however, scored an overwhelming, 20-point victory among the 32% of voters who disapprove. I think this is one of the evolving stories of the Republican contest. If you like Bush, you go to Romney (or one of the other candidates). If you dislike Bush, you go to McCain.

Last 5 posts by Eftychis

• Russian oil slump fuels supply worries - April 15th, 2008
• The Global Food Crisis - April 15th, 2008
• "Off-the-Record Obama" - April 14th, 2008
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• McCain's first general election ad - March 28th, 2008

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